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Ethereum mirrors 2016 trend as price stalls – More ETH losses likely?

August 22, 2024
Reading Time: 5 mins read
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Ethereum mirrors 2016 trend as price stalls – More ETH losses likely?

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  • ETH might see a reduction rally in September.
  • Nonetheless, losses in This autumn may very well be seemingly for the altcoin, per analyst. 

Ethereum’s [ETH] value has been consolidating above $2500 for over every week, a boring situation for crypto merchants who reside off volatility. 

Nonetheless, in line with famend crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen, the biggest altcoin might expertise solely a quick restoration in September earlier than counting doable additional losses in This autumn. Cowen’s projection was based mostly on the same ETH sample noticed in 2016. 

‘#ETH / #USD month-to-month candles proceed to trace 2016 completely. If it continues to play out, it might recommend #ETH is inexperienced in September, after which purple Oct-Dec.’ 

Ethereum

Supply: X

What’s subsequent for ETH value?

Nonetheless, QCP Capital cautioned that ETH might drop even decrease if the Fed makes a giant downward revision in September. 

‘A big downward revision, or an particularly dovish Powell, might doubtlessly reverse the 2-week fairness rally and push #BTC and #ETH under assist ranges.’ 

Apparently, the above mixed ETH views have been prevalent throughout the crypto neighborhood for some time. ETH bear and bull camps have put ahead robust arguments for value prospects, deepening its uncertainty. 

Nonetheless, Cowen identified {that a} robust ETH rally may very well be possible in early 2025. 

‘Then in 2025 #ETH turns inexperienced for some time.’

Within the meantime, Glassnode highlighted that Ethereum’s market dominance has dropped from 16.8% to fifteen.2% since crypto bottomed in late 2022. 

‘Because the second largest asset within the ecosystem, Ethereum has recorded a dominance decline of 1.5%, remaining comparatively flat over the previous two years.’

Ethereum

Supply: Glassnode

Quite the opposite, Bitcoin’s [BTC] dominance has surged from 38% to over 56% over the identical interval, underscoring doable capital rotation to the biggest digital asset. 

Apparently, even the US spot ETH ETF approvals didn’t enhance ETH’s market dominance. Regardless of the ETFs recording internet outflows since its debut because of Grayscale’s ETHE outflows, BlackRock’s ETHA had a wild run. ETHA hit $1B in internet inflows in a month. 

ETH value evaluation

Ethereum

Supply: ETH/USD, TradingView

On the value charts, demand has improved for the reason that dump on August fifth, as indicated by the RSI (Relative Power Index), which has risen from the oversold territory. Nonetheless, demand was not above common, indicating a scarcity of robust momentum for value. 

As such, key short-term assist ranges to look at have been $2500 and $2300 on the decrease facet of value motion. Conversely, if sentiment improved, $2.8k and $3k have been essential short-term bullish targets. 

Earlier: How Tether’s new UAE Dirham stablecoin fits into crypto adoption
Subsequent: 2024 elections: Crypto industry’s $119M bet on pro-crypto candidates

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